Guest_84d94f98 wrote:Skep tickle wrote:News reports from 2 months ago said that applications from black students were down 19% and those from the students with ACT scores >30 were down almost 8%.
According to this, admissions are down 20% across the board. So it may very well be that the demographics of those avoiding Mizzou are approximately even.
foxsports.com/college-football/outkick-the-coverage/mizzou-protests-lead-to-plunge-in-freshmen-massive-budget-deficits-030916
I saw that page 1st & went looking for one that looked less partisan. The foxsports.com article guess-timates that freshman admissions are down 20%:
While the 1500 fewer students aren't broken out by year, the vast majority of them will come from the entering freshman class. How substantial is the decline in enrollment? Based on Mizzou admission data from past years we're talking about a potential 20% drop in enrolled freshmen.
FWIW, they link to 2012 student body data, but apparently that fall saw
the largest freshman class to date & I didn't see anything that said years after that were larger still. Their assumptions include that 1/4 of the nearly 27,000 undergrads are freshmen, meaning that undergrads take 4 years to graduate, yet the
4-year graduation rate for Mizzou is reportedly 46% - so, freshman could comprise <1/4 of the total # of undergrads if it takes many undergrads >4 yrs to graduate (or, freshmen could comprise >1/4 of the total if the low 4-year rate is due to attrition from college rather than extension of time in college). And they don't say anything about it being across the board (though in January the groups showing largest drop were down by 19%, so
if the decline really is around 20% then it presumably would be across the board). So, yeah, you may be right but it looks like the foxsports page is mansplaining - it comes across as more sure of its info than it should be.