Trophy wrote:
Because sometimes while you can have a basic premise that's very correct, your exposition and reasoning could be hilariously wrong, as it was the case with the lad PZ was mocking mercilessly.
....
At this particular instance, PZ was right. The methodology was hilarious. Seriously, the weight the guy assigns to age is a factor of ten larger than 90% of other weights he considers in his survey. Of course, the result is going to confirm his hypothesis...
I think PZ has fooled some of us into thinking there's "a guy" PZ is refuting: a strawman.
My understanding is that one guy created the SMV chart--
Rollo Tomassi.
PZ found out about the chart from a second guy--
Vox Day-- and Vox Day then refuted PZ's original post.
And then a third guy--
Heartiste-- tweeted a "What's your Social Market Value quiz" to PZ, which was the subject of PZ's follow-up post.
I don't think the SMV quiz is the methodology behind the SMV chart.
I think the Rollo Tomassi chart is like a lecturer drawing a couple of overlapping bell-curves freehand-- on a chalkboard or the back of a napkin-- to loosely illustrate a point. 'Not to scale'.
Tomassi said, "I’ve restated this repeatedly, but this graph was never the result of some scientific analysis..."
In the course of defending his chart against other critics- (not PZ), Tomassi did start to connect it to quasi-rigorous analysis, such as the OkCupid dating site's analysis of their users' data:
http://blog.okcupid.com/index.php/the-c ... der-woman/ But PZ ignored the most-compelling, most-scientific basis for the SMV chart, in favor of fabricating a
least-compelling strawman to mock.
PZ also ignored Vox Day's reasonable-sounding refutation of PZ's original post. Vox Day treated the SMV chart like a stock chart, comparing the ups and downs of a hypothetical Male and Female company's "stock" value over a lifetime, in a purely-figurative stock-market.
http://voxday.blogspot.com/2013/10/pz-w ... loses.html
Instead, PZ seized on Heartiste's quiz,
MISREPRESENTING IT as 'survey data' methodology behind the chart.
Trophy wrote:
I've not looked at Arora's map in detail but if it's not based on statistics such as "rape per capita" then it's also bullshit and I'll be very surprised and disappointed in Aronra if that was the case. Nonetheless, that is very different than some dude assigning some random numerical value to highly subjective traits.
I don't think reliable "rape per capita" data exists across 174 nations, and so WomanStats is justified in trying to construct a back-of-the-envelope Best Guess, from available data.
But the map AronRa presented wasn't even the map WomanStats offers as their 'best guess' about rape frequency. It was a map which incorporated all sorts of voodoo.... such as China's strict ban on pornography being cited by WomanStats as evidence that China is strongly anti-rape, compared to France which WomanStats faults for allowing porn to be sold at newsstands.