If thou gazest long into the Pit, the Pit will also gaze into thee

Did someone mention inflation? This post talks about why it is not a classic case of too much money chasing too few goods (i.e. caused by printing money): https://adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-112-inflation-is-hurting Agree with the general principle, if not the specifics. I think the biggest ...

Obligatory "How the Sausage Is Made" post

https://www.bitchute.com/video/KtbIdjx8741G/

Happy birthday!

Steersman doxxed:

https://thepostmillennial.com/daily-wir ... is-a-woman

Revisiting 2010 memes. What will happen if gay marriage is legalised?

https://4and20blackbirds.files.wordpres ... -chart.jpg

:cdc:

Service Dog wrote: ↑

Funbags not as great as Nastasha's

Brive porn:

Interesting as it has some throwbacks to the kirb era.

Lsuoma wrote: ↑ Only because of Twatson, I'm sure...

Only if they make sure the carpet matches the drapes.

Bhurzum wrote: ↑ Seriously, I'm trying to dump all of my old bigoted views but damn! The limp-wristed musical theatre appreciation on display in the 'pit is getting beyond a poke.

A joke!

Beyond a joke!

Fuck.

I prefer boy bands:

Thanks Steersman. Your response explains a lot.

Steersman - What did you think of the Tamiflu debacle?

Brive1987 wrote: ↑ I'm beginning to think that very few people understand relative vs absolute risk.

I pretty much switch off when I hear "xxxx has a yy% increase of risk over zzzz"

Then add this effect:

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.117 ... 5917747646

When did we start using the word "jab" to refer to a vaccination? I fucking hate this word. It's gone completely global too.

I just had to kill a bunch of paper wasps. They were near my back gate, which is close to where people park when visiting me. They completely ignored me, even no matter how close I came to them, but they immediately attacked my father when he came to visit, so they had to go. Had a pretty beautiful ...

There should have been thousands of randomised control studies over the last two years. It's a tragedy there weren't. At best we can say we still don't know, but the signal isn't very strong. It wasn't a tragedy, it was intentional. Well, no, I don't think there's an intentional cabal of scientists...

That's not even a link to a study, but a link to advertisement about a study, and almost certainly another observational study. In my post on page 83, I even posted a link to a 2015 randomised control study from 2015 showing N95 weren't significantly better than surgical masks: https://jamanetwork.c...

I mean, there's a reason there's a replication crisis and some areas have upwards of 70% of papers being unable to be reproduced. Psychology and medicine being some of worst fields.

I was familiar with one of those. Neither are randomised control trials, like the Danish and Bangladesh studies. They are observational studies. I've been through this mess before. I did a lot of work on trying to get an R18+ rating made available for video games in Australia 15 yeas ago. There, you...

Of course it would be a waste of my time to post accredited studies that show the opposite of what your post claims, because you will just argue your source good, my source bad. WTF? As I wrote on the other page, unless something new has come out, there's still literally only 2 good studies on mask...

Sorry to hear that. We can't all be Richard Carrier.

As you suggest, the direction and details of the change (and the motives of the people crying for that change) are starting to move into pole position. I think the internet, for all of its p0rn, memes, viciousness and trolling, has opened the eyes of a lot of people and is responsible for their pol...

My understanding on mask efficacy. Pre-2020 studies. There are surprisingly few, and with very mixed results. Most are among health care workers, and so aren't necessarily applicable to the wider population. The typical result was that surgical masks had low efficacy. There's a handful of outliers t...

It's the psychological paradox of how a Nazi camp gaurd could kiss his children while murdering other children. I personally can't wrap my head around it, i'm not more "moral" than anyone else, but i know that i could never be convinced to do it. Perhaps the answer is in how group psychology change...

Bhurzum wrote: ↑ (yes, I've been drinking, don't judge me!)

We can tell, you're coherent when you're drunk.

Pathological

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/scie ... sk-debacle

The local government here has been trying to pass euthanasia laws, but, as we're a territory, it is something the Federal Government can overruled us on. The last time they made a big move about this was during the most draconian part of the lockdowns in October. I called my local representative and...

Huh. I live in Canberra and went past the event a couple of times, and I'm relatively well informed about local goings on. (I'd have spent more time there but it was also the major birthday of a family member last weekend). Anyway, I'd never seen that sonic story anywhere on any of my local news sou...

Joe McCarthy come back! You were right about everything.

Lsuoma wrote: ↑ Oh, the grand old Duke of York
He borrowed 12 million quid.
He gave it to someone he never met
For something that he never did.

To be honest, if I had that kind of money, I'd almost certainly spend some of it on hookers and blow too. I'm pretty sure they wouldn't be minors though.

Hey Steersman, have you read this study?

http://www.richardwiseman.com/resources/staring1.pdf

The only problem I have with Steersman is the clichés.

This treats vaccines as a phylactic alone, but the flip side is that vaccines in general are also meant to reduce infectivity. There isn't enough data to say on omicron, but we have no reason to dismiss the role the vaccines likely play in controlling spread. Our priors for a vaccine for a respirat...

Dr Robert Malone is clearly a quack, and I don't think there is much signal in ivermectin, although the campaign against it is troubling in and of itself. Vitamin D seems far more important, and, of course, my local government arrested people for exercising outdoors away from other people because th...

That said, as this was obviously always going to be more like influenza, I see this being adapted to the current variant and being part of the annual flu shot. But, like the flu shoot, I see no reason to make it mandatory. I opposed and continue to oppose most of the non-pharmaceutical interventions...

Eh, for this vaccine I'd say it makes sense for everyone over 50 to get it unless they have exceptional circumstances. On the other hand, no one under 25 should get it unless they have exceptional circumstances. For everyone in the middle it should depend on their personal circumstances. That's what...

The type of the vaccine matters too. I certainly don't think the annual flu vaccine should be mandatory, but it makes a lot of sense for older people to take. The measles one, I'm uncomfortable making mandatory, but it makes a lot more sense for every child to take it. The vaccines that we are curre...

The best part about Trump is that he was a middle finger to all these people. He has few other virtues. For myself in Australia, I miss the days I had someone to vote for. That hasn't been true for ages. I've been leaving my ballot blank for the last several elections because there's literally no on...

Just shitpost. You'll be happier.

So like, what happened to this place? There used to be interesting dialogue here. Now it's turned into an echo chamber. I think you've pretty much answered your own question. People got bored or found they had other priorities - so they left. Unlike the two of us that don't have a life to go to.

Sorry to hear that lurker. Not that it means much, but you have my condolences.

Given how infrequently you wash, wouldn't a jackhammer be more appropriate?

https://img1.cgtrader.com/items/866785/ ... -blend.jpg

Bhurzum wrote: ↑ I hate it when you guys/gals/unicorns fight.

It's a real fucking bummer.

Fuck off you incompetent boob

In conclusion-- the original 'Karate Kid' movie is clearly set on a version of Earth in the Star Wars universe. Mr. Miyagi is a Jedi-yoda. Young Daniel is Young Luke, mastering The Force. The gang of bullies are Darkside Darth & his 1-dimensional stormtroopers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_Gz_...

https://paulkingsnorth.substack.com/p/t ... t-part-one

https://paulkingsnorth.substack.com/p/t ... t-part-two

https://paulkingsnorth.substack.com/p/t ... part-three

SOTU has become a ritualized PR opportunity, but the Constitution is vague, only requiring that the president "shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union...." . It used to be delivered in writing, and given how terrible Joe is performing in public, his handle...

Are you saying you want to steerz back to the original direction? (I've been waiting for 63 pages to make this terrible pun)

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For Brive

Passing though: It seems to me that the war on tobacco versus the push to decriminalise marijuana is largely a class war. Poor people smoke tobacco, rich people smoke marijuana.

I'm not sure I'd be confident enough to mail my work colleagues about how I enjoyed playing with my (and other people's) semen, but then I'm not Richard Carrier. I'm not even a Bhurzum. So, that would be something to see.

Steersman?

Lsuoma wrote: ↑ Fuck it, I see no reason not to keep it open - it's co-hosted on a server that has a couple of paying sites, si I'll just let it roll along...

Prick tease

From Za-zen's post, I take it the pit is about to be filled in. I found that I no longer have access to the email address I used for this. (Well, Google is demanding my phone number - fuck that).

Thanks Lsuoma. So long and thanks for all the fish.

Maybe this song applies to Steers more:

Passing half-baked thought: I wonder if the current storytelling obsession with giving villains heartbreaking backstories to justify their actions is somewhat related to the political problems we're also seeing. Probably not causal, but just have the same cause.

John D wrote: ↑At least, if I raise it, it might be able to get a job one day... maybe.

No offence, but your posts would indicate that your ability to raise children is suspect.

Hope you fucks had a good Christmas and that 2022 is a better year for all of you.

My sister is about to give birth with her first child, so I've been having fun helping coming up with names.

Matt Cavanaugh wrote: ↑ Besides proving that Eikks have no natural rhythm, was there a point to this?

Just celebrating the cult of reason with Steers.

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