.
In the immediate wake of Roe v Wade being struck-down...
& Donald Trump's attempted-murder of a Secret Service agent...
Nate Silver of
fivethirtyeight posted a 40 minute podcast, in which Silver speculated about the "impact" that these two stunning events would have... boosting the Dems in the Midterms... and reversing Biden's unpopularity.
And now... poll results are IN... from the post-Roe, post-January6Hearing time period.
Every Day since the Roe decision-- Biden has polled
worse than before the decision.
Every Day since free_thoughtpolice told us all to watch Cassidy Hutchinson testify-- Biden has polled
worse than before.
fivethirtyeight's response? They REMOVED Biden's popularity rating from its home-- the upper-right 'Interactives' section of their frontpage. You gotta scroll-down now-- to see: Biden's DISapproval rating stands at 55.9%
In the podcast, Nate Silver discussed his model for predicting the Midterm Elections.
At the time (2 days ago)-- Silver was pleasantly-surprised to see that the GOP held only a 52-in-100 chance of winning the Senate.
Today... as fresh new poll-results pour in... the GOP's Senate odds have increased to 54-in-100.
--
Is that podcast episode worth listening-to? Nope.
I'm... not recommending it for its merits. Nor for the spectacle of its faults.
I found it mildly-informative to hear exactly-how Silver & his colleague Galen Druke consistently used wording which re-assures the NPR-listener point-of-view/ and marginalizes the Let's Go Brandon point of view. Their blindspots are obvious. But... not very interesting.
More interesting is this clip of focus-group-twat Frank Luntz... who CLAIMS TO BE Republican... teaching Democrats how to win-over the hearts & minds of Republican Voters:
--
As a book-end to the Luntz clip... I recommend Dave Smith's reaction-video... to comedienne Wanda Skyes complaining about Roe/Dobbs on Colbert's show. Smith dissects how oblivious the Progressive-Normies are.
First, Wanda:
https://youtu.be/_epeiYquxeA
Then, Dave.
https://youtu.be/xkDO-_txA4M?t=2179
Unfortunately... Dave's reacting in real-time. Although his points are great... it takes him 3x the time of Wanda's clip... to react.
So-- in summary:
Wanda begins with "I'm a gay black woman!" Then she says the Supreme Court ignored "Democracy" and "Majority rule".
Dave notes the discrepancy between touting her Minority status... and then saying The Majority should be In Charge.
Wanda says the leftwing coastal states-- have bigger economies & pay more taxes-- than the rural middle states.
Dave notes the irony of a Progressive Liberal Socialist advocating that the Rich Should Rule and the Poor Should Shut The Fuck Up.
When discussing 'gerrymandering' & 'redistricting'... fivethirtyeight sees the value in numerical minorities having their own little pockets where they are the majority... and can rule locally. but Progressives forget this concept, when the topic is Roe.
.
[b]In the immediate wake of Roe v Wade being struck-down...
& Donald Trump's attempted-murder of a Secret Service agent... [/b]
Nate Silver of [b][size=110]fivethirtyeight[/size][/b] posted a 40 minute podcast, in which Silver speculated about the "impact" that these two stunning events would have... boosting the Dems in the Midterms... and reversing Biden's unpopularity.
And now... poll results are IN... from the post-Roe, post-January6Hearing time period.
Every Day since the Roe decision-- Biden has polled [u]worse[/u] than before the decision.
Every Day since free_thoughtpolice told us all to watch Cassidy Hutchinson testify-- Biden has polled [u]worse[/u] than before.
[b][size=110]fivethirtyeight[/size][/b]'s response? They REMOVED Biden's popularity rating from its home-- the upper-right 'Interactives' section of their frontpage. You gotta scroll-down now-- to see: Biden's DISapproval rating stands at 55.9%
[img]https://i.imgur.com/AyxKek9.png[/img]
In the podcast, Nate Silver discussed his model for predicting the Midterm Elections.
At the time (2 days ago)-- Silver was pleasantly-surprised to see that the GOP held only a 52-in-100 chance of winning the Senate.
Today... as fresh new poll-results pour in... the GOP's Senate odds have increased to 54-in-100.
--
Is that podcast episode worth listening-to? Nope.
I'm... not recommending it for its merits. Nor for the spectacle of its faults.
I found it mildly-informative to hear exactly-how Silver & his colleague Galen Druke consistently used wording which re-assures the NPR-listener point-of-view/ and marginalizes the Let's Go Brandon point of view. Their blindspots are obvious. But... not very interesting.
More interesting is this clip of focus-group-twat Frank Luntz... who CLAIMS TO BE Republican... teaching Democrats how to win-over the hearts & minds of Republican Voters:
https://youtu.be/ugfvGVvgZ3I
--
As a book-end to the Luntz clip... I recommend Dave Smith's reaction-video... to comedienne Wanda Skyes complaining about Roe/Dobbs on Colbert's show. Smith dissects how oblivious the Progressive-Normies are.
First, Wanda:
[url]https://youtu.be/_epeiYquxeA[/url]
Then, Dave.
[url]https://youtu.be/xkDO-_txA4M?t=2179[/url]
Unfortunately... Dave's reacting in real-time. Although his points are great... it takes him 3x the time of Wanda's clip... to react.
So-- in summary:
Wanda begins with "I'm a gay black woman!" Then she says the Supreme Court ignored "Democracy" and "Majority rule".
Dave notes the discrepancy between touting her Minority status... and then saying The Majority should be In Charge.
Wanda says the leftwing coastal states-- have bigger economies & pay more taxes-- than the rural middle states.
Dave notes the irony of a Progressive Liberal Socialist advocating that the Rich Should Rule and the Poor Should Shut The Fuck Up.
When discussing 'gerrymandering' & 'redistricting'... fivethirtyeight sees the value in numerical minorities having their own little pockets where they are the majority... and can rule locally. but Progressives forget this concept, when the topic is Roe.